2014年11月24日月曜日

The pros and cons of a SWIFT response

Financial sanctions
The pros and cons of a SWIFT response
Blocking rogue states’ access to the world’s financial-messaging network is a potent measure, but it carries long-term risks

l   SWIFT = the electronic financial-messaging system of the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication. It provides a template that helps international transfers flow smoothly and be tracked.
l   The network’s very usefulness means it is increasingly being cast in a new role, as a tool of international sanctions
2012
Iranian banks
EU
Nuclear suspicious
2014
Russian banks
EU (Britain/Poland)
Invasion of Ukraine
2015~
Israel Banks?
Taiwanese Banks?
Pro-Palestinian Group
China
Palestine Conflicts
China vs. Taiwan
l   If the sanction is imposed, more than 90% of transactions involving Russian banks cross borders would stop. Foreign firms that do business in Russia would suffer.

Pros:
l   It is one of the effective sanctions for rogue states.
l   It provides useful information against terrorism. Though terrorists know that SWIFT is monitored by spooks, they still use it: they know it bring risks, but sometimes they have no obvious alternatives.
Cons:
l   It could come to be seen as an instrument of foreign policy, thereby weakening its neutrality. (Above examples)
l   It could lead to the creation of a rival. Russia’s central bank is working to develop an alternative network.
l   It might interfere with attempts to track the finances of Islamic State.

Discussion:
l   Which side do you prefer to stand for and why?
l   Should SWIFT impose sanction on Russian banks according to EU request?

l   Do you know other examples that have the same kind of problem?

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